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M&A down, capital markets up: what 3,034 law firm deal announcements show

Between the second half of 2024 and this summer, the mix of work law firms put out in deal announcements moved in one clear direction. M&A fell about four points as a share of everything announced. Capital markets rose about five. Debt capital markets rose two. Restructuring and fund formation roughly halved.

This is drawn from the 3,034 deal announcements published on Legal Desire across two comparable windows, all of them coded field by field into DealDatabase: 1,758 announcements from July to December 2024, and 1,276 from June to September 2026.

What this measures, and what it does not

It measures published deal announcements, not market activity. A deal that never gets announced never appears here, and firms without a press team are under-represented. Our monthly volume also reflects our own publishing cadence rather than the market’s, which is why the comparison below is share of announcements rather than raw counts, and why the two windows were chosen as periods of steady publishing rather than as neat calendar halves.

Every field is either stated in the announcement or marked not stated. Nothing is inferred.

Practice mix, share of all announcements

PracticeJul-Dec 2024Jun-Sep 2026Change
M&A36.5%32.4%-4.1
Capital markets and IPO14.9%19.7%+4.8
Debt capital markets9.3%11.2%+1.9
Private equity and buyouts8.8%7.4%-1.4
Banking and finance8.4%8.6%+0.2
Venture capital and growth5.9%7.1%+1.2
Real estate4.2%3.1%-1.1
Project finance2.7%3.9%+1.2
Joint ventures3.5%3.1%-0.4
Energy and infrastructure2.0%1.3%-0.7
Fund formation1.9%0.9%-1.0
Restructuring and insolvency1.3%0.7%-0.6

The two largest movements are the ones worth arguing about. M&A remains the single biggest category by a distance, and it lost 4.1 points of share. Equity capital markets gained 4.8. Add debt capital markets and the combined capital markets share went from 24.2 per cent of announcements to 30.9.

Underneath that, four categories that were already small got noticeably smaller as a share: fund formation, restructuring and insolvency, energy and infrastructure, and real estate. Project finance and venture capital went the other way.

Sector mix

SectorJul-Dec 2024Jun-Sep 2026Change
Energy20.1%20.9%+0.8
Financial services15.3%14.1%-1.2
Technology12.8%14.9%+2.1
Healthcare and life sciences8.9%9.2%+0.3
Real estate8.5%7.4%-1.1
Consumer and retail5.5%5.1%-0.4
Industrials4.9%4.7%-0.2
Telecoms and media2.1%1.3%-0.8
Hospitality and leisure2.3%1.4%-0.9
Infrastructure2.0%1.4%-0.6

Energy stayed almost exactly where it was, at about a fifth of everything announced. Technology gained two points. Telecoms and media, hospitality and leisure, and infrastructure each lost around a third of their share, from a small base.

The same shift inside individual firms

Firms with enough announcements in both windows to compare. Capital markets here means equity and debt capital markets combined.

FirmAnnouncements 2024M&A shareCapital markets shareAnnouncements 2026M&A shareCapital markets share
Latham & Watkins35337%31%44730%33%
Clifford Chance24432%33%18826%40%
Linklaters13627%34%11824%53%
DLA Piper13434%19%9229%28%
Dentons7240%21%7432%20%
Baker McKenzie6656%17%7054%14%

Linklaters is the clearest case: capital markets went from about a third of its announced work to more than half, while M&A slipped three points. Clifford Chance moved the same way, seven points into capital markets. Latham & Watkins announced more work overall than any other firm in both windows and shifted seven points out of M&A. Baker McKenzie barely moved, which is its own kind of signal.

Announcements themselves got more detailed

Three things changed in how firms write these releases:

  • Announcements that disclose a deal value rose from 55.6 per cent to 63.1 per cent.
  • The median disclosed value, taking US dollar deals only, went from US$515m to US$578m. The upper quartile went from US$1.2bn to US$1.5bn.
  • The average number of named lawyers per announcement rose from 9.3 to 10.5.

Firms are naming more people and putting more numbers on the record. If your releases still name two partners and no value, you are now the outlier, and you are handing the league tables and the AI summaries less to work with than your competitors are.

What to do with this

If you sit in a shrinking category, check whether it is your practice or your publishing. Restructuring work did not disappear. Restructuring announcements did. Those are two different problems with two different fixes.

If you sit in capital markets, the field got more crowded. Nearly a third of everything announced is now capital markets work. Being announced is no longer differentiation on its own; the detail is.

Put the value and the full team in every release. It costs nothing, and the gap between firms that do and firms that do not is now measurable.

The underlying records, with the firms, lawyers and disclosed values on every deal, are searchable at DealDatabase.co. If your firm’s announcements are not on it, you can submit them through the Legal Desire Press Desk.

Method: deal announcements published on legaldesire.com and coded into DealDatabase. Windows: 1 July to 31 December 2024 (1,758 announcements) and 1 June to 30 September 2026 (1,276). Practice and sector are taken from the language of the announcement. Percentages are share of announcements in the window. Firm-level figures count every announcement naming that firm in any adviser role.

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